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I tell you this, Dewey, the hog market - - -

also gives me one surprise after another. I often think about Long Bear's statement, "In the hog market you can always expect the unexpected!"

I approach the hog market three ways:

1. Since I generally don't have a clue what the market is going to do, I scale in and out of the calendar spread. My initial entry point is usually S.W.A.G. number and the I scale up and down from there. Today I tried to make my first entry into the V/Z spread and I was trying to buy the spread at 3.925. Sometimes I really get hung-out on the spreads.

2. I scalp the front month using crude technical set-ups. Generally these trades don't do much for me except give me some excitement during the day.

3. When the front month is within three or so weeks of expiration, I rely heavily on the Hog Pricing Model to give me a directional bias that is mostly fundamentally driven. This fundamental analysis generally gives me the besYear there. I have fond memories of the five years we lived in St. Louis.

Best wishes,

dhm

Messages In This Thread

The CME Lean Hog Index component on the kill for -
Re: The CME Lean Hog Index component on the kill f
I tell you this, Dewey, the hog market - - -