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Re: Dewey, I've been waiting-----

for June cattle to become front month. Up until two weeks ago I was overloaded with short June with a 164.40 average with an expected drop to test 159 support by mid May. My courage started disappearing last Monday as I started dumping my lower end to balance it out with my long April I was running out of time and I didn't see anything worthy of spreading against my short June. Reality started to set in as I was recognizing that June probably didn't deserve more than a $4 backfill. Friday I wasn't sure June would have any backfill until it went higher. Yesterday was anxiety Monday but that eased with the lower close.

I believe the Bull is alive and well but needing a short term rest, so my downside expectations aren't anywhere near as strong as they were three weeks ago. If we are still in a Bull Market, then expectations that the Bull is always lead by front month rallies which forces me to take my profits, now that I have some with a little more downside follow through tomorrow with orders working at the 161.90-162.20 area. I want to have my deposit in the bank before I place my orders to get long, preferably by Friday morning patiently waiting for a hit on the 50 day mov av at around 161.20. I'm not sure it will even break below 162.00 but I have until Friday to make my deposit and reverse. The Bull has had two weeks of rest with sideways trade and the cycles turn very positive by May 16th-20th. I will probably put a couple long Oct on for a long term trade because ultimately Oct will probably be the contract that gets the honors to plant the Flag @ the Top of the Mountain. The Bull should be ready for another charge as we enter the month of June. These cycles have cattle DNA written all over them.

Messages In This Thread

Trading Hogs & cattle
Re: Trading Hogs & cattle
Re: Trading Hogs & cattle
Re: Trading Hogs & cattle
Re: Trading Hogs & cattle
Re: Tim I got scared of my short position in
Re: Tim I got scared of my short position in
Re: Dewey, I've been waiting-----
Re: Dewey, I've been waiting-----
Re: Dewey, I've been waiting-----
Re: Dewey, I've been waiting-----
Re: Spike, you were correct-----