Re: Cattle Snapshot for 1-21-2022

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In Response To: Re: Cattle Snapshot for 1-21-2022 ()

WEEKLY TIMING ARRAY PERSPECTIVE

was the week of January 17th, that is reinforced by also a Directional Change Target. However, we also see
that there is another Directional Change due in the next session given that the previous session was an outside
reversal to the upside with the opposite trend implied thereafter into the week of January 31st. There are 2
Weekly Directional Change targets starting from the week of January 17th to the week of January 24th
warning of a potential choppy swing period for these few Weeks. Don't forget, a Directional Change can also
be a sharp dramatic move in the same direction, not just a change in direction.

MONTHLY TIMING ARRAY PERSPECTIVE

was December 2021, that is reinforced by also a Directional Change Target. However, we also see that there is
another Directional Change due in the next session given that the previous Monthly session of November 2021
was a high and also closed strong above the former high with a continued rally if this session's high 14142 is
exceeded moving thereafter into March.

We have Monthly Directional Change targets due in December 2021 and February. Don't forget, a Directional
Change can also be a sharp dramatic move in the same direction, not just a change in direction.

We closed the previous month at 13790 after making a new high up two months from the low established back
in November 2021 during 2021 at 13045. However, caution is advisable since our Energy Models have turned
up despite the decline warning of a divergence. Currently, this market is still in a bullish posture above all our
monthly indicating ranges. .

MONTHLY TIMING TABLE FOR: 2021/12/01
| 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11
--------------------------------------------------------
TURNING POINTS
| 44 | 52 | 60 | 64 | 52 | 44 | 56 | 64 | 32 | 60 | 40 | 56
DIRECTIONAL CHANGES
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0
PANIC CYCLES
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0
LONG-TERM EMPIRICAL
| 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2
VOLATILITY
| 0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 3

BROADER OVERVIEW

While the historical perspective of the of this market included a decline from the major high established back
in 2014 moving into a major low in 2020, the market has bounced back for the last 2 years. The last Yearly
Reversal to be elected was a Bullish at the close of 2021.

This market remains in a positive position on the weekly to yearly levels of our indicating models.
This past year alone, saw a sharp price decline of about 12% yet it closed higher settling at 13970.

HYPOTHETICAL MODEL ANALYSIS

Applying our Tentative Hypothetical Models, we see that we have Daily Bullish Reversals that would be
generated if we see another new low penetrating 14202. These Tentative Hypothetical Bullish Reversals would
stand at 0, 13730, 13832, and 14377, whereas a close above the previous high 14310 would tend to suggest
that these Tentative Hypothetical Bullish Reversals will then become fixed as long as the low holds thereafter
for at least several days. Moreover, the election of any of these Tentative Bullish Reversals during that session
would signal a bounce is unfolding and that such a low may stand. However, if we continue to make new lows,
then these WHAT-IF Reversals will be replaced by a new set until the low becomes fixed.

On our Tentative Hypothetical Models, we see that we have Weekly Bearish Reversals that would be
generated if we see another new high penetrating 14377. These Tentative Hypothetical Bearish Reversals
would rest at 12708, 12882, 13560, and 13637, whereas a close below the previous low 14142 would tend to
suggest that these Tentative Hypothetical Reversals will then become fixed as long as the high holds thereafter
for at least several days. Moreover, the election of any of these Tentative Hypothetical Bearish Reversals
during this next session would signal a decline is unfolding and that such a high may stand. However, if we
continue to make new highs, then these Tentative Hypothetical Reversals will be replaced by a new set until
the high becomes fixed.

On our Tentative Hypothetical Models, we see that we have Monthly Bearish Reversals that would be
generated if we see another new high penetrating 14142. These Tentative Hypothetical Bearish Reversals
would rest at 9330, 10240, 11450, and 12350, whereas a close below the previous low 13550 would tend to
suggest that these Tentative Hypothetical Reversals will then become fixed as long as the high holds thereafter
for at least several days. Moreover, the election of any of these Tentative Hypothetical Bearish Reversals
during this next session would signal a decline is unfolding and that such a high may stand. However, if we
continue to make new highs, then these Tentative Hypothetical Reversals will be replaced by a new set until
the high becomes fixed.

REVERSAL SYSTEM

Considering our Reversal System, our next Daily Bullish Reversal to watch stands at 14240 while the Daily
Bearish Reversal lies at 14060. This provides a very near-term 5.69% trading range. Using the Weekly level,
the next Bullish Reversal to watch stands at 14390 while the Weekly Bearish Reversal lies at 13570. This
provides a 5.69% trading range. Now moving to the broader Monthly level, the current Bullish Reversal stands
at 14330 while the Bearish Reversal lies at 12350. This, naturally, gives us the main broad trading range of a
13%.

WIDE-RANGING CLOSING TREND CHANGE POINTS

Change in Trend Indicator
Daily ........ 14105
Weekly ....... 13686
Monthly ...... 12047
Quarterly .... 10156
Yearly ....... 10513

Note: This indicator identifies the tone of the market on each time level. A positive number indicates the
market is still in a bullish posture on that time level. Negative numbers indicate that the market is in a bearish
posture on that time level. The indication is provided only on a closing basis. The broader change in trend
takes place only on the monthly to yearly levels. Those looking for exit strategies may look at these numbers
on a closing basis per level. When a major turning point is approached according to our yearly models, ECM,
and timing arrays, then you can move from the higher levels to the lower to exit a market closer to the turning
point.

At present, we have exceeded last month's high so we have therefore generated a new What If Monthly
Bearish Reversal which lies below the present trading level at the general area of 12400 and a month end
closing beneath this level will be a sell signal for now.

As of now, we have broken below last month's low and that means we have generated a new What-If Monthly
Bullish Reversal which lies above the present trading level at the general area of 267 warning that this decline
has still not punched through important overhead resistance. A monthly closing beneath this level will keep
this market in a bearish tone.

RISK FACTORS
Cattle Futures (CME) Risk Table

----------------- UPSIDE RISK ----- DOWNSIDE RISK ---
DAILY......... 14240 | 0.211% | 14060 | 1.055% |
WEEKLY........ 14390 | 1.266% | 13570 | 4.503% |
MONTHLY....... 14330 | 0.844% | 12350 | 13.08% |
QUARTERLY..... 14480 | 1.9% | 11120 | 21.74% |
YEARLY........ 16700 | 17.52% | 10220 | 28.07% |

NORMAL DAILY TRADING ENVELOPE

Last Close Was. 14210
Envelope Top... 14843
Internal AvgL.. 14177
Internal AvgH.. 14272
Envelope Btm... 13243

PIVOT POINTS

Looking at our Pivot Points, and resistance at 14366 and 14213 for this next trading session.

DAILY PIVOT POINTS
14210
14366
14213

Projected technical Resistance stands tomorrow at, 14238, 14241, 14336, 14346. Keep in mind that these
targets can provide intraday resistance or closing resistance. Opening above this area will cause it to become
support.

RECREATING TIME

Based upon our What-If Yearly Models where time is relative, assuming today Fri. 21st would be
constructively the end of the year, we are currently trading above all What-If Yearly Bullish Reversals for
today's theoretical year-end closing. This is on all four dimensions implying we are still in a broader bullish
trend for now. Keep in mind, that these are what-if reversals good EXCLUSIVELY for today only.

[Note: Time is relative so this model creates time so we have a Yearly Bullish/Bearish Reversal Each Day.
This allows us to see if the broader trend is shifting instead of having to wait for year-end.]

----------------------------------------------------------------

There is no single algorithm that you can devise or cycle that will predict every turn in a market. The reason
for this is because such analysis is attempting to be employed in total isolation. Everything is connected. The
wild-card which creates unexpected panics in markets will typically come from an external source inspired
even from overseas.

REVERSAL MAP SYSTEM
Last Closing 2022/01/21: 14210
-- DAILY -- | -- WEEKLY -- | - MONTHLY - |

16840 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
16800 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
16704 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
16700 | 1 | 16700 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
16680 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
16650 | 2 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
16160 | 1 | 16250 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
16080 | 1 | 16080 | 1 | 16080 | 1 |
15890 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
15640 | 3 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
15509 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
15506 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
15500 | 1 | 15500 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
15470 | 1 | 15490 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
15450 | 1 | 15460 | 1 | 15450 | 1 |
15440 | 2 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
15320 | 1 | 15370 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
15260 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
15250 | 1 | 15250 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
15240 | 3 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
15200 | 1 | 15200 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
15160 | 1 | 15170 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
15150 | 1 | 15155 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
15140 | 2 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
15120 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
14960 | 1 | 14990 | 1 | 14990 | 1 |
14920 | 3 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
14830 | 1 | 14830 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
14806 | 1 | 14825 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
14760 | 2 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
14750 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
14690 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
14640 | 1 | 14685 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
14480 | 1 | ....... | 0 | 14532 | 1 |
14470 | 2 | 14470 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
14450 | 2 | 14450 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
14400 | 3 | 14400 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
14390 | 2 | 14390 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
14260 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
14240 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
----------------------------------------
14060 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
14020 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
13930 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
13804 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
13120 | 1 | 13540 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
13040 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
12970 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
12900 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
12870 | 2 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
12860 | 1 | 12860 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
12810 | 2 | 12810 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
12750 | 3 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
12640 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
12610 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
12570 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
12550 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
12500 | 4 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
12450 | 1 | 12450 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
12400 | 2 | 12404 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
12350 | 1 | ....... | 0 | 12350 | 1 |
12050 | 1 | 12110 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
12040 | 1 | 12040 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
12000 | 2 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
11970 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
11900 | 1 | 11960 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
11870 | 2 | 11870 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
11840 | 2 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
11770 | 1 | 11800 | 1 | 11800 | 1 |
11720 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
11710 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |
11520 | 1 | 11520 | 1 | ....... | 0 |
11506 | 1 | ....... | 0 | ....... | 0 |