have been put to shame by Reality. I don't ever recall Reality outrunning my Hallucinations. I'm sure glad that the price to play the game, kept me out of the game. It saved me from a lot of loss. I didn't even get a chance to play my annual short cattle/long hog spread. I did get a couple short June cattle and I still grabbed more than I do with spreads, even after I left a sizable amount on the table. Sure has been an unexpected strange first quarter for the year. Makes me wonder how many more surprises are waiting to happen. My hedgers missed out on a good one this week because I didn't believe anything like this was possible.
I have a major cycle due the first week of April and June hogs are getting close to my next projection for potentially(probably) a major cycle low. I'm arguing over the 45-46 area and the 42-43 area to finally trade hogs again. I've ignored them for too long. There's a lot of gaps to fill which makes the temptation almost too much to ignore. That has me a bit worried because it makes it look and seem to easy. I'm kind of expecting the seasonal rallies will be a big disappointment but Counter Seasonal rallies for Oct hogs will pay premiums. So I'm trying to convince myself to have patience with the hogs. I've been doing very well with the corn market and low anxiety that comes with it but also very boring.