MURICO.com Forum

Re: Tim, I understand------

your confusion with the plight of the Dec contract having such a deficit as it has. This is not normal and neither is Aug having a $10 deficit to cash. This music of CONFUSION is the markets job and it does it so well. I learned a long time ago(after many donations) that at times(80% for my wiring) you have to throw LOGIC out the window-----the market does it very well. After the fact we can spin a logical twist to what and why things played out the way they did but that doesn't necessarily mean the logical spin is correct but it puts the logical mind at rest to have reasons why things happened.

Only the front month has any bearing for any type of market direction correctness because only the front month price gets recorded on the Big Picture Road Map for the weekly and monthly charts. The back months can play any psychotic deficit or premium they want because it has no bearing on the Big Picture Road Map. The market uses these psychotic and emotional responses from the back months as a tool to confuse the masses due to their addiction to LOGIC. When Oct takes over as front month, then it may have to make some quick changes to possibly rebalance any overkill it may or may not have built into the disconnect with cash-----sometimes that process starts during the 2 weeks of Aug expiration trade. Many factors and variables play into the rebalance or lack of rebalance depending on the trades mindset(also influenced by what Big Money wants to accomplish). My favored theory is based on an overloaded train being the wrong one to be on but it's seldom easy to figure out which train has the most empty seats.

The point I'm trying to make without confusing you and myself------is that its irrelevant what the back months are doing for making choices now and having high expectations for where they will be at, when they become front month. Have reliable buy and sell signals for trigger pulling choices and then manage your risk by not letting the donations go beyond you comfort zone. The hog market has no problem making a $10 move in whatever direction it chooses------if the Controllers decide that is what they want done. It always seems to happen when least expected(when there's plenty of stops to blow) that boils down to a train packed to the rafters-----which is why I say to have reliable buy or sell signals to make choices with------the clues are always there if you can recognize them or if the market hasn't put you to sleep.

Don't ask me who the Controllers are because I can't identify them with a specific name but I know they are out there------could be multiple groups working together or using the same signals against confused masses on a packed to the rafters train(I don't believe this one is packed to the rafters yet). This idea borders on conspiracy theory and even if I could name the entities that carry the Controller Stick, I couldn't prove it, so I give them the Controller label. I have acquired good reliable buy and sell signals that are very useful in recognizing the clues for which side of the market I need to be on. The one trading talent I've been blessed with is the ability to recognize when I'm on the wrong side and then I figured out(a lot of midnight oil research) how to use it to my advantage.

I still have a lot of work to do before I call it a day--------I hope my ramblings are a little useful, if I haven't put you to sleep.

Messages In This Thread

Hog Cycles
Thanks for the post Doc. *NM*
You are welcome, Spike. Of the many production
Re: DH, you are so correct------
Re: You are welcome, Spike. Of the many product
Re: Tim, I understand------
Re: Tim, I understand------
As the hog market has moved toward - - -