said, ". . . you are human and could be wrong . . .". One of the nice things about the futures markets is that you don't have to be right all the time. With the high leverage in the futures markets, if one is just "Sorta right" a fair part of the time and take steps to control risk other times, fairly consistent profits are possible.
As I watch the often fickle moves that the hog futures make, I am impressed with how terribly difficult it would be to hedge hog production. Hats off to you for braving the challenge of advising those producers who are forced to hedge otherwise they would be betting the farm on hog prices.
Best wishes,
dhm