MURICO.com Forum

Re: Dewey, I might be------
In Response To: Hogs by Dennis Smith ()

a good fade but I was forced to get my more aggressive hedgers short at the close. My 64.50 upside target is a qualifier for a 5th wave completion. If the market was as strong as it looked when hitting that target, it should not have fallen back below 63.00. It definitely should have caught a stronger bounce off of 62.50 and closed above 63.00.

The outside day reversal down is sure typical of a completed 5th wave, which means I can expect at least a 50% retracement of the 8.40, 5 wave movement, which gives me a target down at 60.30-60.50 area. The structure of this 8.40 cent rally is typical of 5 wave movements, 1st and 5th wave equal and the 3rd(middle wave) 1.618 x 3.80(length of 1st & 5th waves). We don't know if it will stop at a 50% retracement or go after a 61.8% retracement or even washout back to the bottom.

One target at a time and pass judgment on the reaction or lack of. Anyway, even though I'm uncomfortable getting my guys short at the end of the day @ 62.15, I had no other choice, with what I was seeing at the close. I just barely got the orders in for my guys that tell me if I see something-----DO IT! I also have one of those shorts due to integrity------I won't get them into a position I wouldn't pull the trigger on MYSELF. I would prefer it would have opened the Sink Hole earlier in the day, so I wouldn't have to face the possibility of a dollar bounce the first 15 minutes that then hits a Brick Wall. It is what it is and I have Damage Control and so do my hedgers, who knows maybe they gap it lower at the open.

Messages In This Thread

Hogs by Dennis Smith
Good afternoon, Dewey. You find hogs slippery,
Re: Dewey, I might be------