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Re: DH, I sit here asking myself----

will this game of "Catch Me if You Can", Tag-----play another 30 day cycle before the Index catches up with the board. Then the next question I have to consider is this years addiction to $10 swings. If the Index catches the board the first days of Nov at the 65-66 area, there is still plenty of time for cash to be the directional "Catch Me if You Can", Runner and the Board to be the Chaser to take another $10 swing to retest the lows around Thanksgiving time.

The other, most likely scenario would be another typical remake movie of "Climb the Mountain for a New Year View" which it will eventually do but the Dec contract may give that climb a shaky start. I tend to think the seasonal low is in place but Dec may want to retest that low to some degree but will first try to turn everyone bullish and may get stuck in a $5 sideways rut trying to do so. That would give me good fishing weather.

As far as the 9 year hog cycle low is concerned------I have to believe that was put in last year with the 9 year On Time Precision. That 9 year valley has a very high percentage of giving precision timing, with only a few exceptions. One of those exceptions was the 2007 low which was the precise scheduled time to pull into the station but from what I can dig up for reasoning, the producers did not cut back production enough and then in the spring Swine Flu scared off demand and the retest of 2007 low turned into, still too many hogs and poor demand, gave the bears enough ammo for more sow liquidation. We have a situation where the producers haven't even considered cutting back on production, last years drop did not create enough pain. The producers didn't even flinch. Therefore I have to believe we will get another exception similar to the 2007-2009 cycle as a spring & summer surprise for the producer that will be expecting that 85-90 profit maker but will be faced with Paying the Piper for year after year of Increased Record Production.

I've already started prepping my hedgers to set aside aggressive hedging funds because I can smell him coming------the Grim Reaper will be knocking at their doors sometime in 2018 maybe sooner. G.R. always sneaks up to surprise and with the 98 Bloodbath burned into my memory we need to be good Boy Scouts(be prepared) for any hints of G.R. getting closer, he forgot to finish Death Cycle Prime Directive in 2016------cut production, only done by bringing the producer to his knees.

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The final Purchase Index for - - -
Re: DH, I sit here asking myself----
It's all right to talk to yourself, ITZ. I do -
Re: DH, somedays the only-----