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Re: DH, I would guess that everyone-----

finds themselves thinking the same thing, wishing they could trade hogs(or any market) as well as they talk hogs. I sure find myself thinking the same as you. Since perfection "Is Not Possible", we have to judge our abilities on a percentage basis. From what I've seen for probably 15+ years of listening to your talk, your correct percentages far exceed most of those willing to stick their neck on the chopping block of talk.

As far as the projected increase in production for next year----that's a no brainer, producers have no intentions of cutting back because the pricing pain has not been painful enough to force a cut back. By my 9 year swing cycle low timing swings, 2016 was scheduled perfection. A retest or even a lower low of last years 40.70 weekly/monthly chart low will happen in 2018 and it could be a counter seasonal bear market for May-Aug. Too early to calculate the timing for the final Death Cycle Sink Hole. I've already started prepping producers to prepare for aggressive hedging at some point next year. My talking points and battle cry------the Continued Increasing Record Production faster than Killing eventually leads to a Mountain of Unwanted Pork.

Remember and Respect-----the "98 MASSACRE"

Messages In This Thread

The CME Lean Hog Index component on the kill for -
Re: The CME Lean Hog Index component on the kill f
I spend quite a bit of time mulling over the - -
Re: DH, I would guess that everyone-----